If political scientists couldn’t predict the downfall of the Soviet Union—perhaps the most important event in the latter half of the twentieth century—then what exactly were they good for?
Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.
I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to.
Stuff Know Write
A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.
Entertainment Masquerading Just
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Hot Too Way
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Very Modeled Well
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Game Poll Tell
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
Basically Item Press
The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.
More Pessimistic Even
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.